A team of experts, led by CEA within the auspices of the Project Assessing & Streamlining the Potentials of the Open Balkan Initiative prepared a study with economic forecast regarding the Open Balkan Initiative versus the Berlin Process, concerning the Western Balkan countries.
The point with the TASK 4 is to investigate the economic benefits/loss of participating/not-participating the OBI initiative for countries in the WB, individually and as a group (region) with full and partial integration, versus the Berlin Process, through the prism of long-term forecast of key macroeconomic indicators. Details on the assumptions behind the scenarios and the results are presented in this document. Three scenarios were quantified, analyzed and results are presented:
- Only three countries (Albania, North Macedonia and Serbia) are part of the OBI initiative;
- All six WB countries become OBI members;
- OBI initiative is melted into Berlin Process.
Full study available at:
ENG: WESTERN BALKAN ECONOMIC FORECASTS: OPEN BALKAN AND BERLIN PROCESS
MK: ЕКОНОМСКИ ПРОЕКЦИИ ЗА ЗАПАДЕН БАЛКАН: ОТВОРЕН БАЛКАН И БЕРЛИНСКИ ПРОЦЕС
СРБ: ЕКОНОМСКЕ ПРОЈЕКЦИЈЕ ЗА ЗАПАДНИ БАЛКАН: ОТВОРЕНИ БАЛКАН И БЕРЛИНСКИ ПРОЦЕС
ALB: PROJEKSIONE EKONOMIKE PËR BALLKANIN PERËNDIMOR: BALLKANI I HAPUR DHE PROCESI I BERLINIT
